FXUS64 KHGX 161205
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
705 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Shower and thunderstorm chances and coverage will be diminishing
  today and Friday compared to previous days.

- A more typical summertime pattern is expected this weekend and 
  into next week with even lower (if any) rain chances.

- With more sun and drier air moving back in, look for daytime
  highs to climb back into the mid 90s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

Mid-upper trough that has been responsible for all the rain this 
week will continue tracking further west as higher pressure builds 
into the region from the east. PW's, previously in the 2.0-2.3" 
range, will be lowering...but still a respectable 1.7-2.0" at 
times through Friday. So, even though overall rain chances and 
coverage should be on a decline...I'd still anticipate some 
isolated-scattered activity the next few days.

Heading into the weekend and next week, lower moisture values 
combined with more predominate ridging (both in the llvls and 
aloft) should keep rain chances at a relative minimum. With the 
drier air place, we should see daytime highs climb back well into 
the mid 90s. 47

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 701 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

MVFR CIGs occurring at SGR/CXO/LVJ/DWH/LBX expect improvement to
VFR by afternoon, with skies remaining overcast for much of the
day. Isolated to scattered storms will continue through today,
mostly west of I-45 this morning, moving N of I-10 later today.
Winds generally S-SE at 5-10 kt. MVFR CIGs possible again late
tonight into Friday morning.

Bailey

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

SE/S winds in the 12-17kt range will prevail for the next several 
days. Speeds will be highest at night offshore and during the 
afternoons/evenings in the bays. Scattered shower and storm coverage 
will be trending down from what we have experienced the past several 
days today and Friday...and even moreso this weekend and next week. 
Seas should mostly be in the 3-4ft range...maybe a touch higher 
beyond 40nm offshore. The center of surface high pressure will be
moving into the northwest Gulf late in the weekend and early next
week which should cause a reduction in speeds/seas and a more SSW
component to the winds. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)	  89  75  92  75 /  40  30  20  10 
Houston (IAH)			  91  78  94  77 /  20  10  30  20 
Galveston (GLS)			  90  83  91  82 /  20  20  20  10 

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...Bailey
MARINE...47