FXUS64 KHGX 020009 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 609 PM CST Sun Mar 1 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Fog will remain a possibility nightly through the weekend, especially in the coastal areas. - Unseasonably warm weather will continue through the start of next week. - Few cold fronts will try but are unlikely to reach SE Texas during the work week. May see one reach our area during the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1117 AM CST Sun Mar 1 2026 Warm weather continues today with afternoon highs set to reach the 70s/mid 80s with lows in the 50s/lower 60s. Sea fog cleared out very quickly today and conditions on the whole should become less favorable for sea fog overnight into Monday as wind speeds increase and water temperatures warm. This is reflected in the SREF and HREF/Cams too where coverage is overall more limited, more confined to our coastal & eastern counties. Anticipate patchy fog with at least some isolated pockets of dense fog, especially after midnight. A few shortwaves & disturbances pass north of our area throughout next week. First of these occurs on Monday, where a cold front attempts to scoot its way towards SE Texas, but stalls near north- central Texas. The next front should be approaching SE Texas around mid week on Wednesday, but it too is anticipated to stall out near the Red River Valley. Even if that doesn't reach us, we'll still see some deeper moisture (1.3-1.6" PWs) and shortwave energy overhead, resulting in some showers and thunderstorms around mid week. May see a brief lull in PoPs on Thursday as the aforementioned front lifts north. Otherwise, warm weather will prevail through the work week with highs in the 70s/mid 80s with lows in the 60s. One more front should push towards SE Texas on Saturday, however this time, it seems as though the front may actually reach out area. The LREF Ensemble has a large amount of members showing a northerly wind direction by Saturday evening. While LREF wind direction histograms are still multi modal with peaks at northerly and southerly orientations, confidence in the front reaching SE Texas is much greater than the latter two fronts. This especially since it's not just one suite of members showing this northerly wind shift, as ENS, GEFS and GEPS all contain a decent number of members showing this possible outcome. While the details of this front may change over the next few days, current guidance suggests better rain chances and overall cooler temperatures heading into the next weekend. 03 && .AVIATION... (00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 549 PM CST Sun Mar 1 2026 Winds will gradually weaken early this evening, becoming light and variable overnight. While confidence is moderate, another period of MVFR to IFR conditions is possible later tonight due low ceilings and fog. Conditions remain favorable for these restrictions, with low clouds slowly developing from the south- southwest, and fog thickening toward sunrise. Any fog and low ceilings should dissipate/lift by mid Monday morning. Southerly winds around 8 to 10 knots, gusts up to 20 knots in the afternoon. Mostly clear skies will prevail for the rest of the TAF period. JM && .MARINE... Issued at 1117 AM CST Sun Mar 1 2026 Patchy sea fog could return to the coastal waters and bays tonight. Conditions are generally becoming less favorable due warming water temperatures and increasing wind speeds, so sea fog is likely to be more patchy in nature with only a few dense pockets. Model guidance suggests that the worst visibility will potentially set in after midnight during the early morning hours of Monday. Afterwards, fog should clear with chances continuing to lower through next week. Light to moderate winds and low seas will continue through the upcoming work week. 03 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 58 81 62 85 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 61 81 65 82 / 0 0 0 20 Galveston (GLS) 63 74 64 75 / 0 0 0 30 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...03 AVIATION...JM MARINE...03