FXUS64 KHGX 261856 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1256 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... - Very warm and humid conditions along with overnight/morning fog will continue into the weekend. - A strong cold front late Sunday night into Monday morning will bring much colder conditions early next week, followed by a slow warmup deeper into the week. - Gale conditions look increasingly likely after the front in the Gulf waters and potentially the bays late Sunday night through Monday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1209 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025 Welcome to another day of warm, humid, holiday soup. Temperatures are expected to remain well above average through Sunday and may flirt with records. The moist environment will keep the atmosphere favorable for some overnight and morning fog. But the fog may not be as widespread as recent days. In addition, we expect the threat of sea fog to continue at the coast, but with longer breaks in the fog during the day. But the warmth's days are numbered due to a looming pattern change that promises much colder weather. A strong cold front will push through the region Sunday night into Monday morning bringing gusty northerly winds and falling temperatures. The front also expected to feature some rain shower activity as it passes through the CWA. On Sunday, many locations could be near the 80 degree mark. By Monday afternoon, many locations could be struggling to get out of the 40s depending on the strength of CAA. Monday overnight lows are a little tricky due to the prospect of continued cloud cover and weakening CAA. Less clouds and or more CAA would equate to higher chance of most areas in the CWA experiencing a light freeze. More clouds and less CAA would equate to slightly warmer temps. Tuesday promises another chilly day with highs struggling to reach the low 50s. And with expected high pressure and clearing skies Tuesday night, many locations away from the coast and outside the urban heat island could find themselves dealing with a light freeze on Wednesday morning. The early outlook for the New Year's holiday features a gradual warming trend. After a toasty Christmas and an arctic glancing blow early next week, it appears we may manage a rather average New Year's. Highs on New Year's are forecast to be around 60, rising to the mid/upper 60s on New Year's Day. The early outlook for the New Year's Eve festivities entails evening temperatures falling through the 50s and into the 40s (tad warmer at the coast) under partly cloudy skies. But I'd recommend checking the forecast updates since any forecast 6-7 days out will have some enhanced uncertainty. Self && .AVIATION... (12Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 426 AM CST Fri Dec 26 2025 The combination of elevated winds and the wind direction being in a more southwesterly orientation has kept dense fog from developing in the region early this morning. There's still some potential for fog development for terminals south of I-10 through 16Z though as winds are expected to relax. Until then, low cloud ceilings are the main story, which has led to a mixed bag of MVFR to LIFR conditions with the lower ceilings closer to the coast. Ceilings gradually lift after sunrise, but look to linger in the MVFR range through 18Z-20Z. Winds throughout the day will be southwesterly around 10 kt sustained with occasional 15-20 kt gusts through the afternoon. Winds tonight into Saturday morning remain a bit elevated and also southwesterly. Based on what we've seen last night/this morning, this trends toward more of a low cloud ceiling event rather than widespread dense fog. The potential for dense fog is certainly not zero, especially near the coast. However, it does look at least slightly less favorable than the past several nights (except at GLS where the fog potential remains generally high). Batiste && .MARINE... Issued at 1209 PM CST Fri Dec 26 2025 The pattern will remain favorable for areas sea fog during the overnight and morning hours through the weekend. The south to southwest trajectory of the wind along with warming water temperatures should result in longer breaks in the fog, particularly during the day. But as always, there are some uncertainties regarding fog timing. A strong cold front will expected to push offshore late Sunday night into Monday morning. The front will bring strong winds and building seas on its wake. Gales are likely behind the front in the Gulf on Monday. Gusts in the Gulf could approach 45 knots. In the bays, gusts up to 35 knots are possible. Could not rule out 40 knot gusts in the lower bays on Monday. Sustained winds are expected to be 25 to 30 knots, though the Gulf waters could approach 35 knots sustained. Bay waters will become very rough while Gulf seas are expected to top 10-12 feet. Conditions gradually improve Monday night into Tuesday. However, Small Craft Advisory level conditions could prevail well into Tuesday. Winds are expected to become light by Wednesday and veer onshore by Thursday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 66 82 65 81 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 69 82 66 82 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 66 74 66 75 / 0 0 0 10 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Self AVIATION...Batiste MARINE...Self