FXUS64 KHGX 041915
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
115 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Drier and slightly cooler weather today into Thursday. 

- Another front is expected late Thursday night. Rain chances will
  probably be confined to locations mainly south of I-10.

- Pattern is somewhat unclear later this weekend. Overall trend
  brings cooler conditions with rain chances mainly west of I-45. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 109 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026


Pleasant weather conditions prevail across Southeast TX today 
with temperatures mainly in the mid 70s, sunny skies, light 
northerly winds and low humidity. Winds will transition to the 
southeast and become variable tonight. Light winds and mostly 
clear skies will result in a chilly night with lows in the mid 40s
to low 59s for our northern counties and in the 50s to low 60s 
over the coastal zones. 

Rain and storm chances return on Thursday as a warm front and 
increasing WAA lift into our area, and a cool front moves through 
later at night. Because low to mid-level moisture is limited 
further inland, expect most of the activity to occur over the 
coastal counties and Gulf waters. The best chances will be in the 
late afternoon/evening hours, continuing through early Friday as 
the front pushes well offshore. 

Behind the FROPA, breezy northerly winds are expected, with the 
strongest gusts along the coast and coastal waters. Ridging will 
build aloft, resulting in drier conditions with highs in the 70s 
and low 80s. 

The pattern over the weekend differs a bit between models, but 
the overall pattern brings an upper level trough over the Four 
Corners, sliding into the region through early next week. While 
upper forcing increases with passing vort maxes aloft and 
increased PVA, moisture remains limited, mainly for areas east of 
I-45. Nevertheless, expect rain and storm chances to focus mostly 
on our western areas from Saturday evening through late Sunday 
night. With increasing cloud cover and surface north to northeast 
winds, below normal temperatures can be expected this weekend into
early next week. Expect morning temperatures in the upper 40s and
50s on Saturday and Sunday. Slightly cooler Monday morning and 
Tuesday morning with lows dipping into the low 40s for portions of
the Piney Woods and Brazos Valley area. Highs will generally be 
in the 60s to low 70s on Sunday and Monday. 

JM

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1140 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

VFR conditions prevail across the area for the entire TAF cycle. 
Currently, in the post frontal environment a N wind between 5-10kts 
persists throughout the day. Tonight winds relax to LGT and VRB.
With drier air in the region the chance of reduced conditions due to 
patchy BR/FG is minimal. Tomorrow morning, winds pick back up out of 
the SE between 5-10kts.

CMW

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 109 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026

Light northeast to east winds and low seas are expected, before a
cool front moves through late Thursday night into Friday. This 
FROPA will bring a chance of rain and thunderstorms ahead of and 
along the boundary Thursday night into Friday morning. Winds will 
become moderate and shift to the north-northeast by Friday, 
reaching Advisory levels Saturday through late Sunday. Seas are 
also forecast to build around 7+ft offshore during this time 
frame. Light northeasterly winds resume late Sunday night into 
early Monday.

JM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)	  75  50  79  56 /   0   0  10  10 
Houston (IAH)			  77  55  80  62 /   0   0  10  10 
Galveston (GLS)			  76  66  77  68 /   0   0  10  20 

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JM
AVIATION...CMW
MARINE...JM