FXUS64 KHGX 020002
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
602 PM CST Thu Jan 1 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Abnormally low water levels in Galveston Bay will continue
  through at least Thursday's low tide cycle. Continued low water
  is likely due to the very low astronomical tides occurring.

- After a short cold stretch, weather is warming through normal on
  its way back to a warm period late in the week. Look for highs
  on Friday to reach back into the 70s and lower 80s, with low
  potential to get even warmer.

- Our next cold front looks to arrive early this weekend, but it
  looks to be a weekend. There is a very low chance - less than 15
  percent - for brief, light showers, with a modest dip in
  temperatures for the weekend. With forecast highs in the 70s,
  even post-frontal temps will be above average.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1230 PM CST Thu Jan 1 2026

2026 kicks off with a warming trend through tomorrow (and really,
warmer through the weekend compared to the last couple of days).
High pressure has settled in and temperatures are creeping into
he 70s this afternoon. Expect even warmer temperatures tomorrow as
most of the area tops out in the 80s (a few areas may reach into 
the mid 80s to the west of the Metro). Another trough will cut 
across the central CONUS, bringing a weak cold front along with 
it. Look for temperatures to drop into the 70s for most of the 
area through the weekend. While majority of the area should remain
rain-free with this front, the available moisture ahead of the 
front and an mid-level shortwave could provide enhanced lift and 
lead to brief isolated showers.

Beyond the front, look for continued above normal temperatures and
dry conditions to continue. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 533 PM CST Thu Jan 1 2026

Mostly VFR conditions expected with the potential for MVFR cigs
early Fri over a few locations. Cigs will scatter out after 15Z. 
Winds will relax to 05-08 KTS tonight, but a llvl jet will develop
overhead during the overnight hours and could lead to gusty winds
around 09Z timeframe. Llvl WS is possible as well. Winds will 
remain elevated on Fri with S-SSW winds at 10-15 KTS and gusts of 
up to 25 KTS through the end of the TAF period. 

Cotto 

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1230 PM CST Thu Jan 1 2026

Low water conditions continue for Galveston Bay and will continue
deeper into the week stretch of very low astronomical tides. The 
low water advisory has been extended through the weekend. Friday 
is a somewhat ambiguous day, as low tides may come above the 
typical threshold for a low water advisory, but only by a small 
amount before heading back below the threshold for Saturday's low 
tide cycle. 

Southerly to southwesterly winds have developed today, and
will continue through Friday. With these winds, humidity will 
increase enough that patchy fog can develop during the overnight 
hours Thursday night and Friday night, but there is still 
considerable uncertainty in how significant fog development will 
be. It seems reasonable to expect at least some patchy fog, and
the forecast reflects that, with potential for more dense spots if
conditions align properly.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)	  58  84  52  73 /   0   0   0   0 
Houston (IAH)			  61  82  58  76 /   0   0   0   0 
Galveston (GLS)			  63  73  63  72 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Low Water Advisory until 6 PM CST Sunday for GMZ335.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Bailey
AVIATION...Cotto
MARINE...Bailey