FXUS64 KHGX 252317 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 617 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry and unseasonably warm weather will continue over the next several days. - Persistent southerly flow will lead to the development of some late night clouds and patchy fog. - A weak/dry cool front will move through the region Friday night early Saturday. While it won't rain, it will bring lower humidity and temperatures ranging from the low 70s to low 80s by Saturday. - The lower humidity will be short-lived; an uptick in moisture and a return to above-normal temperatures are expected heading into early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 112 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2026 The current stretch of dry and well-above average temperature conditions remains firmly in control. A mid to upper level ridge currently centered over the Desert Southwest is forecast to expand eastward into our region through the weekend. At the surface, high pressure positioned to our east will maintain a steady feed of warm, humid southerly air. The combination of a strengthening ridge aloft and southerly surface flow will push afternoon highs into the mid to upper 80s. It won't be a surprise if a few inland spots touch the 90F mark on Friday. With light winds and low-level moisture, conditions are favorable for radiation fog and low clouds during the late night and early morning hours through Friday. A pattern shifts arrives late Friday as a weak and dry cool front slides southward from the Plains. The boundary is progged to cross the region Friday night into early Saturday morning. This is a dry front, so don't expect any rain. The primary change will be a significant drop in humidity. By Saturday, surface dewpoints will drop into the upper 30s (northern counties) to upper 50s (along the coast). Highs on Saturday will be sightly "cooler", ranging from the mid to upper 70s in our northern counties to the low 80s elsewhere. Unfortunately, the reprieve from the humidity will be brief. By Sunday and into early next week, southerly flow quickly resumes, bringing an uptick in moisture and a return to above normal temperatures. As the upper-level ridge shifts further east, dry weather is expected to persist through at least Tuesday. JM && .AVIATION... (00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 613 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2026 Tonight's outlook is pretty much a persistence forecast, featuring lower cigs/vis overnight. Areas of IFR are in the forecast once again, particularly after 06Z and before 14Z. The lowest confidence is near the coast where guidance is showing mostly VFR conditions. Our forecast continues to show sub-VFR developing at the coast. But to give some weight to the guidance, we went with higher coastal cigs/vis compared to last night. Vis/cigs trend VFR by mid/late morning tomorrow as winds increase from the S then SE. Could have sustained near 15 knots with occasional gusts over 20 knots tomorrow. && .MARINE... Issued at 112 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2026 With the surface high pressure to our east, light to moderate south to southeast winds and low seas (1 to 2 ft) can be expected over the next several days. A weak and dry cool front will enter the coastal waters Friday night into Saturday. This boundary will bring a wind shift to the northeast with speeds of 15 to 20 kts possible on Saturday. Caution flags (Small Craft Should Exercise Caution conditions) or a low-end Small Craft Advisory can be expected early Saturday. Winds will gradually weaken by late Saturday afternoon. Light east to southeast winds will resume by Sunday and persist into early next week, becoming moderate at times. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 63 88 62 88 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 66 86 64 89 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 68 76 68 78 / 0 0 0 0 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...JM AVIATION...Self MARINE...JM