FXUS64 KHGX 252351 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 651 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Few storms may clip portions of the Piney Woods area early today... cannot fully rule out a stronger storm or two. - Isolated strong to severe storms will be possible over the area this afternoon and evening. - Gradual warming trend with temperatures reaching into the upper 80s to lower 90s this weekend. - Above normal temperatures continue during the early to middle part of next week, with at least isolated showers and thunderstorms possible over portions of the region each day. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 148 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026 Partly cloudy skies are being observed across most of SE Texas this afternoon. Expect warm and humid conditions to continue for the majority of the area through the afternoon. Will need to keep an eye on the sea breeze--as it moves inland, it could trigger a few storms. While we are not outlooked in any severe weather risk (higher risk remains well to our north), I do want to mention that CAPE is in excess of 2000 J/kg, bulk shear is around 35-40 kts, and we do have moisture available (PWATs above average)..so, if any storms do initiate along or ahead of the sea breeze, they do have the potential to become organized and produce damaging winds and hail. Any storms should weaken close to sunset with the loss of daytime heating. Tonight, skies will be mostly cloudy with patchy fog possible overnight into Sunday morning. Sunday should be similar today, while most areas will remain dry, cannot rule out storms developing along the sea breeze. Will make mention that with similar conditions as today, storms on Sunday will also have the potential to become strong. For next week, a shortwave trough is projected to lift NE across the plains, ejecting a cold front towards SE Texas. The cold front is expected to slow/stall on approach the Brazos Valley/Piney Woods which may lead to some showers and storms developing across northern counties. Zonal flow aloft is expected to develop Tuesday as a mid-level high becomes established to our south. A few shortwaves will generate in the predominant zonal flow and track through SE Texas. This will result in increasing rain chances through the week next week. By Friday, another mid-upper level shortwave is projected to pass through Texas and bring an associated cold front along with it. If the cold front makes it through the area, we may have some cooler and breezier weather heading into next weekend. Bailey && .AVIATION... (00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 639 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026 MVFR-IFR CIGs are anticipated to build in from the coast tonight. Fog and lower CIGs to LIFR levels may also develop in spots, particularly in areas closer to the coastline early Sunday morning. During the overnight hours, we'll have to watch for some possible showers and storms to the north/northeast of KUTS due to outflow coming from northeast Texas. CIGs should slowly scatter and lift out Sunday morning through the afternoon with VFR conditions prevailing thereafter. MVFR-IFR conditions fill back in Sunday night. 03 && .MARINE... Issued at 148 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2026 Light to moderate southeasterly winds should continue through the next several days. Elevated water levels around 2.5 to 3.0 feet above MLLW are expected at each high tide cycle through early next week. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day through the weekend. A slight increase in winds and seas are expected beginning around Tuesday next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 72 90 72 91 / 10 0 0 10 Houston (IAH) 73 90 74 91 / 0 0 0 10 Galveston (GLS) 74 81 75 82 / 0 0 0 0 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Bailey AVIATION...03 MARINE...Bailey