FXUS64 KHGX 111834
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1234 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Though conditions will be gradually improving, elevated seas offshore
  will take a while to subside. Negative tide levels are 
  anticipated in the bays for a couple of days.

- Fairly seasonable weather is expected through most of the week.

- The next two cold fronts are forecast to push through Wednesday
  and Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1234 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Fairly tranquil wx is expected for the next couple days as broad high
pressure sags southward into the region. There will be some variable
mid-high level cloudiness streaming overhead through midweek as 
the cutoff low near Baja advances toward Tx Monday into Tuesday 
night. Moisture recovery will be quite meager between now and 
then, so rain chances should remain low/nil. Wouldn't be overly 
surprised if we see some virga and/or a few sprinkles show up on 
radar Tue, but really not to the degree worth mentioning in the 
fcst at this point. Once this low/trof passes and becomes 
absorbed by a deepening trof to our east on Wed, we'll see our 
next front move into the area. SW/W llvl flow in advance should 
allow for highs to briefly rebound close to 70 before its passage
during the afternoon and evening hours. A weak return flow off 
the Gulf sets up Thursday night ahead of a second front expected 
Friday night or Saturday. Overall quality of available moisture to
work with is uncertain ahead of this front. GFS maintains its 
bullish stance, but other deterministic guidance not so much. Will
keep some lowish POPs closer to the coast as a placeholder for 
now. 47

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1234 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

VFR conditions expected with light winds and some variable high-mid
level cloudiness streaming overhead. 47 

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1234 PM CST Sun Jan 11 2026

Winds are in the process of diminishing, though elevated seas 
offshore will take a while to subside. The Small Craft Advisory 
offshore is scheduled to expire at 6pm, but we may need to extend 
that a little longer (will monitor buoy wave height trends). 
Mariners should anticipate some negative tide levels the next 
couple days, moreso in the central and northern half of the the 
bays. A Low Water Advisory is in effect there. Otherwise, look for
light winds and falling seas early in the week. The next front is
expected to push into the waters Wednesday afternoon with 
increasing northwest and north winds filling in behind it 
Wednesday night. Small Craft Advisory conditions look probable. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)	  39  61  42  60 /   0   0   0  10 
Houston (IAH)			  42  61  43  61 /   0   0   0  10 
Galveston (GLS)			  49  58  51  60 /   0   0   0  10 

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Low Water Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for GMZ330.

     Low Water Advisory until noon CST Monday for GMZ335.

     Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for GMZ350-
     355.

     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for GMZ370-375.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...47
MARINE...47